I'd laugh if it wasn't for the fact that this is the single most depressing item I've read in quite a while.
Qaeda has 18,000 militants
Al Qaeda has more than 18,000 militants ready to strike and the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq has accelerated recruitment to the ranks of Osama bin Laden's network, a leading London think-tank says.
Al Qaeda's finances were in good order, its "middle managers" provided expertise to Islamic militants around the globe and bin Laden's drawing power was as strong as ever, the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) said on Tuesday.
It warned in its annual Strategic Survey that al Qaeda would keep trying to develop plans for attacks in North America and Europe and that the network ideally wanted to use weapons of mass destruction.
So the past two years have been a complete waste of time.
"Meanwhile, soft targets encompassing Americans, Europeans and Israelis, and aiding the insurgency in Iraq, will do," the institute said.
"Galvanised by Iraq if compromised by Afghanistan, al Qaeda remains a viable and effective network of networks," it said.
The IISS said al Qaeda lost its base after the toppling of the Taliban in Afghanistan in late 2001 but had since adapted to become more decentralised, "virtual" and invisible in more than 60 countries.
Strike that. It's not been a complete waste of time. It's actually been
counter productive. Rather than nipping this cancer in the bud, we've managed to let it metastasize and mutate into a far worse threat than we could have imagined. Note the 60 countries. 60 countries! All you bozos on the pro "state based war" strategy have got to be scratching your heads now trying to figure out how we're going to invade 60 countries to get rid of these guys, eh?
"The Afghanistan intervention offensively hobbled but defensively benefited al Qaeda," it said.
Somehow the phrase "that which does not kill us only makes us stronger" is ringing in my ears.
The institute said 2,000 al Qaeda members and more than Azaelf of the group's 30 leaders had been killed or captured.
The IISS said the 1,000 al Qaeda militants estimated to be in Iraq were a minute fraction of its potential strength.
Sounds like the "flypaper strategy" worked perfectly, doesn't it?
"A rump leadership is still intact and over 18,000 potential terrorists are at large with recruitment accelerating on account of Iraq," the IISS said. It gave no source for the figure.
Recruitment
accelerating? JHCORFC! You guys on the whole "state based war" strategy really rock! I tell ya! Brilliant. Positively brilliant!
"Bin Laden's charisma, presumed survival and elusiveness enhance (al Qaeda's) iconic drawing power," the IISS said.
It said al Qaeda was reported to be exporting extremism on a global scale with "middle managers" providing planning, logistical advice, material and financing to smaller groups in Saudi Arabia and Morocco and probably Indonesia and Kenya.
The IISS said the Madrid train bombings in March suggested al Qaeda had now fully reconstituted and had set its sights firmly on the United States and its closest allies in Europe.
Gee. We have the Olympics coming up. The hand over to Iraq. And, of course, our own elections in November. 18,000 terrorists.
Lovely.